Umwaka wa 2022 uzahita urenga kimwe cya kabiri, kandi ibiciro byibyuma bidafite fer mugice cyambere cyumwaka biratandukanye mugihembwe cya mbere nicyakabiri.Mu gihembwe cya mbere, mu minsi icumi yambere ya Werurwe, isoko ryo mu rwego rwo hejuru ryazamutse riyobowe na lunni ryatwaye amabati ya LME, umuringa, aluminium na zinc ku rwego rwo hejuru;Mu gihembwe cya kabiri, yibanze mu gice cya kabiri cya Kamena, amabati, aluminium, nikel naumuringabyihuse byafunguye inzira yo kugabanuka, kandi umurenge utari ferrous waguye kumurongo.

Kugeza ubu, ubwoko butatu bufite umwiherero munini uva ku mwanya wanditse ni nikel (-56.36%), amabati (-49.54%) na aluminium (-29,6%);Umuringa (-23%) nugusohora byihuse kumwanya.Kubijyanye nigipimo cyibiciro byagereranijwe, zinc yagereranijwe no kugabanuka kandi ikiri inyuma mugihembwe cya kabiri (igiciro cyigihembwe kiracyiyongera 5% ukwezi).Dutegereje igice cya kabiri cy'umwaka, guhindura politiki y’ifaranga rya Banki nkuru y’igihugu no kuzamura ubukungu bw’imbere mu gihugu nyuma y’iki cyorezo ni amabwiriza abiri y’ingenzi ya macro.Nyuma yo kugabanuka gukabije hagati yumwaka, ibyuma bitagira fer byatangiye kwegera inkunga yigihe kirekire.Isoko ryamasoko kuva icyorezo kizasimbuza urwego rwohejuru kandi rwagutse ku isoko.Munsi y'ibarura rito, igiciro cyoroshye cyibyuma bidafite fer hamwe numuringa nkibyingenzi bishobora kuba binini cyane, bikagwa vuba kandi bikazamuka vuba, inshuro nyinshi, kandi ifishi irashobora kumera nkigikonjo cyibiti mugice cya kabiri cya 2006. Urugero , umuringa urashobora guhindagurika hafi $ 1000 mugihe gito.

copper

 

Mu kirere cya macro, isoko iroroshye kubisubiramo: icya mbere, isoko rirakinguye kandi ntirishobora guhinduka ku nyungu yo kuzamura inyungu za Federasiyo.Nubwo muri iki gihe ihuriweho n’inguzanyo zirwanya ifaranga muri iki gihe, niba ibidukikije by’iterambere byangiritse cyangwa isoko ry’imari shingiro rikaba ryaragize ingaruka mbi, injyana ya Federasiyo irashobora guhinduka igihe icyo ari cyo cyose.Kugeza ubu, isoko rivuga agaciro ntarengwa ko gukomera, bisa n '“ikizamini cyo guhangayika”;Niba ingamba zo kongera inyungu zishyirwaho byihuse kandi ibiteganijwe kugabanuka ryinyungu umwaka utaha bikomeje kwiyongera, imyumvire yisoko irashobora guhinduka vuba;Icya kabiri, mu rwego rwo guhuza amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine, biragoye ko isoko rihindura imyumvire ku bijyanye n’ifaranga ry’igihe kirekire, kandi biragoye gukomeza itangwa rya gaze gasanzwe mu Burayi, cyane cyane mu gihe cyizuba n'itumba uyu mwaka;Icya gatatu, injyana yubukungu.Byakagombye kubona ibimenyetso byingenzi byubukungu by’Amerika byinjira mu bukungu mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka.Nyuma yuko ubukungu bwimbere mu gihugu bugabanutse mu gihembwe cya kabiri, nyuma y’icyorezo cy’icyorezo nyuma y’igice cya kabiri cy’umwaka nicyo kizaba gikenewe cyane mu mwaka.Twizera ko imyumvire yubucuruzi bwisoko izahinduka vuba mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka.Nubwo kugabanuka kwigihe gito ari binini, ntabwo byinjiye ku isoko ryidubu.

Kubijyanye no gutanga nibisabwa, ibintu bihoraho byibyuma fatizo ni ibarura rito, rishobora no gutanga ihindagurika rihagije.Mu rwego rwo gukenera kwimbere mu gihugu gushyuha, imbogamizi zitangwa mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka zigena imbaraga ugereranije nubwoko butandukanye bwicyuma.Twizera ko kubijyanye n'imishinga mishya hamwe nubushobozi bwo gukora, ibidukikije byo gutanga nikel na aluminiyumu birasa naho bidakabije, kandi nikel ahanini ni ugusohora buhoro buhoro imishinga itandukanye muri Indoneziya;Aluminium ishyigikira cyane cyane ubushobozi bwimikorere yo murugo binyuze muburyo bubiri bwo gukoresha ingufu no gukonjesha no gutanga neza hamwe nigiciro.Ibidukikije byo gutangaumuringan'amabati arasa, kandi hariho ikibazo kinini cyigihe kirekire cyo gutanga, ariko haribintu byiyongera kubitanga muri uyumwaka.Isonga ni itangwa nigiciro cyoroshye;Nyamara, zinc irakomeye cyane muburinganire bwimbere mu gihugu nibisabwa mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka.Twizera ko mu bucukuzi bw'amabuye y'agaciro, umuringa ugaragaza cyane cyane imyumvire y'isoko ndetse no guhungabana kwinshi.Igikorwa kiriho ni ugushaka byihuse inkunga yo hasi.Urebye ibyingenzi, nikel ya aluminium ifite intege nke na zinc irakomeye;Urebye ubwiza bwibintu, kugabanuka kwamabati ni manini, kandi inganda zicukura amabuye y'agaciro no gushonga zumva neza igiciro.Dushishikajwe cyane na zinc na tin.

Muri rusange, twizera ko nikel bigaragara ko ifite intege nke kandi zinc ishobora gukomera;Amabati arashobora kuba uwambere gukoraho hepfo, kandi umuringa na aluminiyumu ni ukutanyeganyega kutabogamye nyuma yo kubona inkunga yo hasi;Imihindagurikire ikomeye hamwe n'umuringa nkibyingenzi bizaba ibintu nyamukuru byubucuruzi bwibyuma bidafite fer mu gice cya kabiri cyumwaka.


Igihe cyo kohereza: Jun-29-2022